El Niño 2015-16: Godzilla or Mothra?

Image
El Nino to Godzilla Scale

When

to

Where

Speaker(s)

Michael A. Crimmins, PhD
Associate Professor & Extension Specialist - Climate Science, Department of Soil, Water, & Environmental Science, University of Arizona

Date/Time: Tuesday, September 15 / 12:00 - 1:15 p.m. 

An El Niño has been brewing in the tropical Pacific for well over 18 months now and has just recently gained strength and is expected to persist as a rare strong event through the upcoming winter and spring seasons. Past strong events have brought unusually wet conditions to much of the Southwest and the forecast for Arizona for this winter includes a strong chance of above average precipitation. What will actually happen across Arizona this winter? This presentation will discuss the basics of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation, a look at the hydroclimate associated with past strong events and what the forecasts look like for Arizona through next spring.
 

Michael Crimmins is an applied climatologist and extension specialist in the Department of Soil, Water and Environmental Science. He is also a principal investigator with the Climate Assessment for the Southwest program and works on research and extension projects related to climate impacts and drought monitoring and planning.